Business & Economics Books:

Assessing Financial Vulnerability – An Early Warning System for Emerging Markets

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Description

Ever since the ERM crises of 1992-93 and the Mexican crisis of 1994-95, there has been a heightened interest in early-warning signals of financial crises. This study reviews the literature on the origins of currency and banking crises. It then presents a comprehensive battery of empirical tests on the performance of alternative early-warning indicators for emerging-market economies. The study identifies crisis-threshold values for early-warning indicators that differ both by country and by indicator. This allows the authors to make historical comparisons among banking or currency crises, as well as to draw conclusions about which specific indicators have, over time, sent the most reliable early-warning signals of future currency or banking crises in emerging markets.

Author Biography:

Morris Goldstein, nonresident senior fellow, has held several senior staff positions at the International Monetary Fund (1970-94), including Deputy Director of its Research Department (1987-94). From 1994 to 2010, he held the Dennis Weatherstone Senior Fellow position at the Peterson Institute. He has written extensively on international economic policy and on international capital markets. Carmen M. Reinhart was the Dennis Weatherstone Senior Fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics. She was previously professor of economics at the University of Maryland. Graciela L. Kaminsky is professor of Economics and International Affairs at George Washington University and Research Associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research. She previously held positions as assistant professor at the University of California, San Diego and staff economist at the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. She has been a Visiting Scholar at numerous government organizations, including the Bank of Japan, the Bank of Spain, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, the Hong Kong Monetary, and the Monetary Authority of Singapore.
Release date Australia
June 1st, 2000
Audiences
  • Postgraduate, Research & Scholarly
  • Professional & Vocational
  • Undergraduate
Pages
150
Dimensions
155x230x9
ISBN-13
9780881322378
Product ID
10349822

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