The Science of Conjecture

Evidence and Probability before Pascal

By:

James Franklin

Format:

Paperback / softback

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Description

How did we make reliable predictions before Pascal and Fermat's discovery of the mathematics of probability in 1654? What methods in law, science, commerce, philosophy, and logic helped us to get at the truth in cases where certainty was not attainable? In The Science of Conjecture, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors, and juries evaluated evidence; how scientists weighed reasons for and against scientific theories; and how merchants counted shipwrecks to determine insurance rates. The Science of Conjecture provides a history of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty and explores the coming to consciousness of the human understanding of risk.

Author Biography:

James Franklin is a professor in the School of Mathematics and Statistics at the University of New South Wales.

Release date Australia

September 26th, 2015

Author

James Franklin

Audience

Professional & Vocational

Pages

520

Dimensions

156x235x27

ISBN-13

9781421418803

Product ID

23102550

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